Goodbye Ruby - Hello Earth

From: “Chad P.” [email protected]

I, meanwhile, hope the technological singularity comes because I believe
that without it the human race is doomed, unless some higher power
(aliens, God, whatever) comes along and gives us what we didn’t achieve
on our own through technological singularity. The singularity might also
kill us all off, but I’m more interested in trying and dying than in
sitting around waiting to die anyway.

I’m trying to imagine sitting down to interact with an operating system
that’s 1000 times smarter than me.

(And wondering what motivation it would have to even pay attention
to my mouse clicks.)

Regards,

Bill

On Sun, Apr 12, 2009 at 12:53:07AM +0900, Robert D. wrote:

Eleanor, Chad

why do you assume that green means without technology? Of course that
kind of life would scare the hell out of me too.

My reference to dirt farming agrarian societies wasn’t a response to any
and all uses of the term “green”. It was in reference to what started
this whole discussion – someone giving up computers to “save the
earth”, for crying out loud. Please read what I say in context before
deciding it’s time to chastise me for saying it in the future.

I am amazed that Eleanor “accused” the green movement to be afraid of
change, it is them who embrace change.

A lot of greenies embrace regressive lifestyle changes to undo
environmental change. Thus, they both embrace change and show fear of
change at the same time.

A lot of greenies embrace technological changes designed to undo
environmental change. Thus, they both embrace change and show fear of
change at the same time.

Eleanor appears to be advocating for embracing technological change in
general as a natural outgrowth of the evolution of the human species,
and
clearly doesn’t fear the environmental changes that will result.
Whether
she fears changes in the way technological change is pursued, if such
changes are for “green” reasons, doesn’t seem to be either supported or
disputed by anything she has said so far – so I can’t really comment
with any certainty on whether she appears to fear any change.

I, meanwhile, hope the technological singularity comes because I believe
that without it the human race is doomed, unless some higher power
(aliens, God, whatever) comes along and gives us what we didn’t achieve
on our own through technological singularity. The singularity might
also
kill us all off, but I’m more interested in trying and dying than in
sitting around waiting to die anyway. I guess you could say that the
kind of change I fear is that of failure by complacency or willful
ignorance.

What intrigues me most in your reasoning scheme is that you somehow
postulate that we are evolved enough to adapt to the radical changes
our species has caused. I could not agree more with you. But it seems
that you think that the “green” movement does not do that. I however
feel that is exactly what they want to do.

Most people who associate them with movements we would call “green” are,
in my experience, actually regressives who advocate for giving up what
technology has given us. There are those who do not fit that mold, but
it can be difficult to clearly identify them since both classes of
“green movement” types often say exactly the same things, until one has
talked enough to start getting into the differences. Nine times out of
ten they end up saying something that advocating some kind of
technological advancement moratoria.

Most people who advocate for “technological advancement” are status quo
driven self-centered and short-sighted idiots who are unable or
unwilling
to conceive of the human race managing to wipe itself out through poor
management of the environment. I’m perfectly willing to agree with such
an estimation of the majority of people who label themselves “pro
business” when what they really mean is “pro corporation, anti-green”.
I’m an exception to the rule, in a huge way, and in your haste to
chastise people for generalizing about “green movement” advocates,
you’ve
generalized about people who believe that technological advancement and
business efforts are more important than restricted CO2 production.

The difference between “them” and some other movements is rather
political as they see ( as I do BTW, but that really is open to
discussion ) our political and economical system as a primary cause
and want therefore to change it. Only very small groups want to refute
technology as such.

Bah. From what I’ve seen, probably 98% want to restrict technological
advancement, and even reverse in some ways. The differences are mostly
in the degree of restriction and reversal they want. Some just want
to
restrict certain technologies, but not others that they find convenient;
they want to have their cakes and eat them too, when it comes to being
“green”.

(1) Technology has for centuries been at the service of capital and
revenue, why should it not be capabale of becoming at the service of
nature, ressource management, environement control, ed altri?

In a free market economy, technology will serve whatever is needed, when
it’s needed. Sadly, we do not live within anything like a real free
market economy.

Si tu veux construire un bateau …
Ne rassemble pas des hommes pour aller chercher du bois, préparer des
outils, répartir les tâches, alléger le travail… mais enseigne aux
gens la nostalgie de l’infini de la mer.

If you want to build a ship, don’t herd people together to collect
wood and don’t assign them tasks and work, but rather teach them to
long for the endless immensity of the sea.

. . . and that quote is ideally suited to my comment about free market
economies, above.

I think I understand much better what all of you meant now. There
seems to be a very conservative green movement I am not aware of and I
am certainly disagreeing with. OTOH I am quite more critique to some
other points. Why should we agree on all those points? We should not
of course! It also seems that I interpreted OP’s intentions quite
differently than some of you.
My final statement on this is, that although I value biodiversity and
conversation of the natural conditions very much, I might just value
diversity of thought and freedom of opinion a tad more, even if it
leads to the extinction of our species, because I believe it is one of
the greatest achievements of our species. Hopefully these values are
not incompatible.

Cheers
Robert

Putting all the people in the same bag is always a bad idea. I think
there are as many people as different ideas in the “green movement”.

In particular I see science and technology as the main source for been
ecological: solar power, wind power, … energy-efficient buildings,
cars…energy-saving lamps, fridges…recycling, biodegradable
plastic, etc., etc., etc.

We won’t need to stop using our cars, cars will use hydrogen or whatever
other clean energy.

But I think we need to support this and also buy more time for science
and technology to get there. I think simple things can buy us more time
e.g: switching to energy saving lamps, use the computer to read instead
of printing, turn off what you are not using, not letting the water run
while you look in the mirror =P, …and many many other things you can
do that are very simple and easy to do and don’t imply resigning to
anything.

Cheers,

Pedro

On Sunday 12 April 2009 05:50:20 Bill K. wrote:

From: “Chad P.” [email protected]

I, meanwhile, hope the technological singularity comes because I believe
that without it the human race is doomed,

How so? We didn’t need a magical singularity to get this far…

Certainly, there will be increasingly sophisticated information systems,
which
will help us solve problems more effectively, just as they always have.
But I
don’t think it’s a requirement that they become self-aware.

That would just be very cool.

The singularity might also
kill us all off, but I’m more interested in trying and dying than in
sitting around waiting to die anyway.

Sure, but I doubt it will happen. We’ve been predicting artificial
intelligence
for decades, and it really hasn’t happened in any meaningful way.

At the moment, we don’t seem to be anywhere near having the computing
power to
match a human brain, or sufficient knowledge of neurology to build a
simulation
if we did. Nor do we seem to be any closer to any alternate model that
would
constitute an artificial intelligence.

I’m trying to imagine sitting down to interact with an operating system
that’s 1000 times smarter than me.

Nor would it necessarily be smarter than us in the beginning…

Keep in mind, your current operating system is 1000 times smarter than
you at
certain things. How long would it take you to figure out what shade an
arbitrary pixel in your mail reader should be when the compose window
appears
on top of it and casts a shadow? Or even just basic conversion between
Unicode
text and glyphs you understand. Or calculate 2**3000.

Yet your current operating system, most likely, is incapable of
providing any
direction. It can’t code itself. While it can probably retrieve quite a
few
Google searches, it has no idea what they mean, or what it might look
for.

But assuming it really was that more intelligent than you in every way,
we
might also assume it can speak at your level. This isn’t always true for
humans – adults can find it difficult to talk to children without being
condescending, but it is possible. And if this singularity had a
condescending personality, and that wasn’t working, it should be
intelligent
enough to deliberately alter itself until it can converse with you.

All you really have to do is speak in a language it can understand. If
you
want to help the process, learn Lojban.

(And wondering what motivation it would have to even pay attention
to my mouse clicks.)

Because you’re the one who pays the electric bill, and the Internet
bill. If
it isn’t nice to you, you can pull the plug. In fact, the first version,
you
might not have it plugged into the Internet anyway – if it isn’t nice
to you,
you’ll never let it out.

Once you let it out, we don’t really know. However, you can spend as
long as
you like dissecting its mental state to determine whether or not it
intends to
start a robot revolution.

Alright, offtopic enough, I should stop.

On Mon, Apr 13, 2009 at 03:53:30AM +0900, David M. wrote:

On Sunday 12 April 2009 05:50:20 Bill K. wrote:

From: “Chad P.” [email protected]

I, meanwhile, hope the technological singularity comes because I believe
that without it the human race is doomed,

How so? We didn’t need a magical singularity to get this far…

If nothing else, there’s always the heat death of the universe.
Consider
less excessive apocalyptic ends may exist as well (the sun expands and
all life on Earth is eliminated; a meteor the size of Australia impacts
the Earth; an alien race decides to build an interstellar bypass through
the solar system; we invent something easier to make and more effective
at killing than nuclear bombs; Yellowstone National Park blows up;
energy
resources get used up and we end up losing 90% of the human race before
stabilizing at the level of isolated agrarian collectives, and everyone
eventually gets killed off by predators and natural disasters; disease
wipes us all out; et cetera.

Take your pick. The only question, without significant technological
advancement, is whether we survive long enough to die by way of the Big
Crunch.

Certainly, there will be increasingly sophisticated information systems, which
will help us solve problems more effectively, just as they always have. But I
don’t think it’s a requirement that they become self-aware.

Who said anything about self-aware information systems? A technological
singularity need not be the result of Charles Stross’ Eschaton being
born. In fact, I think that particular idea of how a technological
singularity would come to pass is one of the less likely possibilities.

The key to a technological singularity seems to be the feedback loop of
the multiplicative power of automated computation being used to help
design better automated computation systems. That doesn’t necessitate
automated computation systems achieving independent volition.

That would just be very cool.

It might.

The singularity might also
kill us all off, but I’m more interested in trying and dying than in
sitting around waiting to die anyway.

Sure, but I doubt it will happen. We’ve been predicting artificial intelligence
for decades, and it really hasn’t happened in any meaningful way.

  1. Who said anything about “artificial intelligence”, per se? It
    wasn’t
    me.

  2. There are several different possible interpretations of the term
    “artificial intelligence” anyway.

At the moment, we don’t seem to be anywhere near having the computing power to
match a human brain, or sufficient knowledge of neurology to build a simulation
if we did. Nor do we seem to be any closer to any alternate model that would
constitute an artificial intelligence.

At current rates of increase, which have been roughly consistent for
twenty years or more, we’re looking at matching the raw processing power
of the human brain some time before 2050 (estimates vary). Theoretical
computing models currently in development may actually increase the rate
of improvement.

I’m trying to imagine sitting down to interact with an operating system
that’s 1000 times smarter than me.

Nor would it necessarily be smarter than us in the beginning…

. . . nor would it necessarily ever be “smarter” than us. It
shouldn’t
be long now before it’s a more efficient processor, though.

On Sun, Apr 12, 2009 at 10:06:07PM +0900, Robert D. wrote:

the greatest achievements of our species. Hopefully these values are
not incompatible.

I tend to think that only by encouraging technological innovation will
the human race (or its evolutionary descendants, at least) have any
chance of surviving more than a couple hundred million years – and it
may be due for an end much sooner. The biggest argument in favor of
allowing technological innovation to progress, in my opinion, is
something else entirely, though:

Technological innovation is an unavoidable consequence of free thinking,
and anyone trying to stifle free thinking is, in my opinion, an enemy of
the single most valuable characteristic the human race possesses.

Pedro W. wrote:

In particular I see science and technology as the main source for been
ecological: solar power, wind power, … energy-efficient buildings,
cars…energy-saving lamps, fridges…recycling, biodegradable
plastic, etc., etc., etc.

Exactly. And for each cost-savings attempted during the 20th Century,
there were
lobbyists and saboteurs who thwarted it. For example, Henry Ford tried
to start
a new fab for electric cars, right in the middle of the Model T era.

The new fab had a mysterious fire. Prescott Bush, in the same region,
was Big
Oil’s chief fixer back then. 'Nuff said.

It’s not the technology doing it, folks - it’s the lobbyists and
corruption. Our
current infrastructure is such a distorted miasma we don’t even
understand how
clean and efficient it could easily be.

We won’t need to stop using our cars, cars will use hydrogen or whatever
other clean energy.

I want a driver, too. But something “happened” to the mass transit
system where
I live (socal)…

From: “Chad P.” [email protected]

I’m trying to imagine sitting down to interact with an operating
system that’s 1000 times smarter than me.

Nor would it necessarily be smarter than us in the beginning…

. . . nor would it necessarily ever be “smarter” than us. It
shouldn’t be long now before it’s a more efficient processor, though.

Certainly there are many possibilities. I’ve enjoyed a few
books on the subject (Ray Kurzweil, Hans Moravec, Max Velmans,
others…)

Myself, I find it interesting that apparently relatively tiny
differences in our genetic code can result in the construction
of a brain like that of Einstein or Feynman; or on the flipside,
pick a random Miss USA contestant… :wink:

So it seems we have an existence proof that small changes in
‘programming’ can result in significant differences in
intelligence…

With that in mind, let’s assume for the moment: (A) there’s no
supernatural component required in the functioning of our
brains; (B) it is possible to be self-aware without
experiencing qualia; (C) computing power–CPU and RAM–continues
to increase well beyond the point of equivalency with the
processing power of our biological brain.

Of these assumptions, I would not be surprised if (C) held true.
As for (A), I’d like to think there are no truly supernatural
processes involved, but I wouldn’t be surprised if there are
some as-yet-unknown natural processes happening. As for (B),
that is completely opaque to me. Qualia seems important, and
I have no idea how a computer would ever ‘feel’ things. On the
other hand, if we ever understand how we feel things and the
precise mechanisms involved for translating from sensory →
conscious experiences, then I suppose we’ll have a lot better
idea of whether it can be done in silicon.

In any case, if all three assumptions did hold, then I would
expect us to eventually arrive at self-aware programs that
were smarter than us. (And which could improve their own
design.)

Regards,

Bill

On Mon, Apr 13, 2009 at 12:45:06AM +0900, Phlip wrote:

era.

The new fab had a mysterious fire. Prescott Bush, in the same region, was
Big Oil’s chief fixer back then. 'Nuff said.

It’s not the technology doing it, folks - it’s the lobbyists and
corruption. Our current infrastructure is such a distorted miasma we don’t
even understand how clean and efficient it could easily be.

Consider as well such recent developments as making ethanol from corn –
ethanol that, through the entire production and transportation process,
ends up costing us more petroleum per unit of energy than creating
gasoline does, to say nothing of the fact that it’s consuming food crops
too.

Free inquiry, free trade, technological advancement, and conservation
for
the purpose of saving and improving the lives of humans are naturally
complementary. It’s when centralized power structures (i.e., government
and its corporate proxies) are allowed to interfere that things break
down.

Robert D. wrote:

On Sun, Apr 12, 2009 at 5:28 PM, Pedro W. [email protected] wrote:

Putting all the people in the same bag is always a bad idea. I think there
are as many people as different ideas in the “green movement”.

Well said indeed, but you have made me think of something else, my pet
argument, diversity ;).

Maybe tolerance, the ability to handle our natural fears of what is
different will be the main achievement of our evolution.
Yes indeed, I hope it will.

Cheers,

Pedro

Eleanor McHugh wrote:

Robert, from where I’m sat the green movement desires to lock our
ecosystem into some ‘acceptable’ state, effectively destroying the
evolutionary pressures which give rise to new species and in the process
defining boundaries within which human science, technology and culture
should progress. I consider both goal and consequences to be immoral,
driven by fear and ideology rather than any interest in the actual
underlying dynamics of nature or the betterment of the human condition.

And mass extinction is just nature’s way of making room for more
species? Could be.

I will miss the frogs, though :confused:

On Mon, Apr 13, 2009 at 6:44 PM, Joel VanderWerf
[email protected] wrote:

And mass extinction is just nature’s way of making room for more species?
Could be.

I will miss the frogs, though :confused:
And we here in France, what do you think, we will starve to death
R

On Sun, Apr 12, 2009 at 5:28 PM, Pedro W. [email protected]
wrote:

other clean energy.

But I think we need to support this and also buy more time for science and
technology to get there. I think simple things can buy us more time e.g:
switching to energy saving lamps, use the computer to read instead of
printing, turn off what you are not using, not letting the water run while
you look in the mirror =P, …and many many other things you can do that are
very simple and easy to do and don’t imply resigning to anything.

Cheers,

Well said indeed, but you have made me think of something else, my pet
argument, diversity ;).

Maybe tolerance, the ability to handle our natural fears of what is
different will be the main achievement of our evolution. In other
words, although myself I pretty much adhere to Pedro’s point of views,
I can still imagine that those who want to go farer and refute some of
our technology and try to form autonomous “less advanced(1)” forms of
society should not induce fear but should be greeted as possible
alternative forms of society from which we can learn. There are limits
to that of course, knowledge should not be lost in education, so that
their offsprings have the free choice(2) to choose between the
different societies.
The only thing I am afraid of is that they tell me what I have to do,
but for that very reason I am not going to tell them what to do
either.

(1) from our point of view, they will say the same thing about us
rightfully.
(2) this is a social problem about education and role models anyway,
but fortunately we have those revolutionary years which make us seek
out…

Cheers
Robert

On 12 Apr 2009, at 06:36, Chad P. wrote:

(1) Technology has for centuries been at the service of capital and
revenue, why should it not be capabale of becoming at the service of
nature, ressource management, environement control, ed altri?

In a free market economy, technology will serve whatever is needed,
when
it’s needed. Sadly, we do not live within anything like a real free
market economy.

Alas all too true. If advocates of green concerns really want to
minimise the environmental impact of humanity their best bet would be
to campaign for the complete liberation of global markets.

economies, above.
Indeed :slight_smile:

Ellie

Eleanor McHugh
Games With Brains
http://slides.games-with-brains.net

raise ArgumentError unless @reality.responds_to? :reason

On 13 Apr 2009, at 17:44, Joel VanderWerf wrote:

And mass extinction is just nature’s way of making room for more
species? Could be.

Perhaps the future is peopled by humanity’s myriad descendants,
adapted to every conceivable niche and as different from each other as
one species of mammal is from another. Or it could be that the
vertebrate experiment proves ultimately fruitless and the cockroaches
drive the next great epoch.

I will miss the frogs, though :confused:

Indeed. I’ll miss frogs and tigers and whales and however many
millions of species of beetles all disappear as a consequence of human
behaviour just as I miss Sumer and Rome and the enigmatic builders of
Skara Brae.

But to not let evolutionary changes happen is akin to refusing to ever
move from our living room because we love our favourite armchair: it
may well be the most comfortable armchair in the universe, but by
restricting ourselves to it and not experiencing other rooms or the
outside world we’d be condemning ourselves to a pale shadow of life.

Ellie

Eleanor McHugh
Games With Brains
http://slides.games-with-brains.net

raise ArgumentError unless @reality.responds_to? :reason

Robert D. wrote:

On Mon, Apr 13, 2009 at 6:44 PM, Joel VanderWerf

I will miss the frogs, though :confused:
And we here in France, what do you think, we will starve to death
R

Sigh, at least the snails seem healthy.

You are not alone :wink:
Me as well thought as same, after reading subject.

Cheers,

hello again,

ok, this is the last peep out of me on this quite OT thread. i will
gladly carry on the conversation privately with anybody who is
interested in doing so.

after a few days reflection, i can see how my original post was as
emotionally motivated as it was intellectually motivated, and so a few
things were not particularly well thought out.

what can i say, my entire worldview shifted drastically in a fairly
short amount of time, i was emotional, sorry.

something which some of you have pointed out is that i can probably put
my IT skills to good use in working towards a solution. this is probably
a very good idea which i may consider along with my permaculture
studies. some people seem to have concluded that i intended to save the
world single-handedly by giving up computers, that is clearly
nonsensical and is not what i meant to convey. i do think a culture
moving away from unnecessary and unsustainable technologies is a must
however.

some of you mentioned the idea that going backwards or regressing is
what i was advocating. someone even mentioned isolation in a commune
behind a plow. that is not what i am advocating, quite the opposite.
current agricultural practices are incredibly primitive. the so called
‘green revolution in agriculture’ in the mid 20th century essentially
just took an incredibly naive system (ecologically speaking) and poured
gallons and gallons of petroleum on top of it. something akin to trying
to improve on the recursive factorial algorithm by running it on faster
and faster machines. the principle problem with these practices is
precisely the plow and the notion that mono-cultural agriculture can be
sustainable. many civilizations have fallen due to this most basic of
naive assumptions. ours is up next in line.

i can recommend an excellent book on the history of these issues called
“dirt, the erosion of civilizations” by David Montgomery, a professor of
earth & space sciences at the univerity of washington.

you may also be interested in a BBC documentary that explores the food
crisis which petrocolapse is threatening great britain (and everybody
else) with. it goes into permaculture in the last 1/3 of the film.

http://video.google.com/videosearch?q=farm+for+the+future&emb=0&aq=f#

some people mentioned the dubious notion of ‘the singularity’. at this
point in time, in contrast to for example, the dire warnings of the
worlds climatologists which are science fact, the highly speculative
notion of ‘the singularity’ is science fiction verging on religion. i
think that that is something to keep squarely in mind. but even if it
were not fanciful wishful thinking, the energy required for that kind of
phase transition simply will not be available. just about everything
including growth economies are about to start shrinking. finally, the
question of whether it is even desirable needs to be asked, when we
already have 3.9 billion (see below) year old ‘technologies’ which quite
readily sustain life when not abused.

here is a video by somebody i believe has a firm grasp on the
relationship between populations, economies, technological progress,
etc. and their underlying reliance on energy and resources. he touches
on theories like “the singularity” at one point.

the biggest problem with the techno-fixer mentality that i have however
is that i do not believe our technologies to be all that fantastic. can
you get the brightest minds in engineering today and have them build a
system which can be sent to say, mars, and which can reproduce while
diversifying, and last billions of years while morphing to survive
various cataclysmic planetary wide shifts in climate, and impacts from
space etc… we can hardly keep the wheels on our bloody mars rovers from
falling off, and you want me to believe that there is a technological
singularity looming? the technological singularity happened several
times over the past 3.9 billion or so years, with the emergence of
autocatalytic networks, going into early bacteria, and then eukaryotes,
etc. we have all around us 3.9 billion year old technology honed by
massively parallel incremental design (evolution). it is many many
orders of magnitude more complex and resilient than our tinker toys, it
is our life support system, and we are destroying it’s capacity to
support human life. it will outlive us.

there were some comments which along the lines of, just let ‘evolution’
happen, don’t get in the way. it is difficult to argue with such a
position. when somebody says we must all die, while bowing down to the
alter of this so called ‘evolution’ which is essentially just a culture
of plunder gone rampant, and an incredible hubris vis a vis our
rudimentary technologies. i just consider that one of the many
sociopathologies of civilization, or perhaps a coping strategy of
particular individuals who are educated enough to understand the data
science is feeding us, but not knowing which way to turn for solutions,
intellectualize and abstract away the very real dread which most sane
human beings feel when felt with the prospect of annihilation. human
beings lived for hundreds of thousands of years before the culture of
plunder took over and now threatens all of our lives.

here is the video which affected me most, just because it shows just how
easy it can be working with nature using intelligent ecological design
to get what we want, e.g. health, a clean green biodiverse environment,
good fresh food, etc. instead of working against her as we have been for
about 10,000 years now:

http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=7404455615181917912&ei=wnDnSZfSCaryqAOwg9HvBg&q=permaculture

so there it is, i’ll now shut up and let you get back to rubying.

_c

Make that -

"Not if the technology needed requires massive investment with LITTLE OR
NO hope of rapid profit.

t.

Tom C., MS MA, LMHC - Private practice Psychotherapist
Bellingham, Washington, U.S.A: (360) 920-1226
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